Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

Likely suitable

Likely sailing window from 06:25 to 11:25.

Why: Wind now 7.0 kt from ENE; next six hours 6.0–8.2 kt, gusting up to 14.2 kt; wind direction changing ENE to E; rain chance up to 92%; 1 active Met Office warning.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 2.1 kt · direction difference 4°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 05:39 · forecast 05:32 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Active Met Office warning

Yellow: Thunderstorms and heavy rain may lead to some disruption — A band of thunderstorms and heavy rain will move north across England and Wales, perhaps becoming slow moving in the afternoon and evening. Accumulations of 20-30 mm in three hours can be expected fairly widely and up to 50 mm in a 12 hour period can be expected in places. There is a small chance that some places may see more than 50 mm in three hours and more than 75 mm through 12 hours, especially over east facing high ground. Lightning and hail of 1-2 cm will also be hazards.

Read the official warning

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 05:39
Wind now7.0 kt
Wind directionENE68°
Gust, last hour19.1 kt
1-hour average9.2 kt
Temperature16.4°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendSteady-0.1 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height0.5 mUp to 0.5 m in six hours
Wave period5.1 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionE85° from
Swell height0.3 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
06:25Likely suitable

6.7 kt ENE 73°

Likely 5.7–8.5 kt

Gust 11.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 15%
07:25Likely suitable

6.0 kt ENE 71°

Likely 5.3–7.7 kt

Gust 10.1 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 30%
08:25Likely suitable

6.7 kt ENE 73°

Likely 4.7–8.8 kt

Gust 11.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 32%
09:25Likely suitable

7.4 kt ENE 73°

Likely 5.0–9.1 kt

Gust 14.2 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 42%
10:25Likely suitable

8.2 kt E 81°

Likely 5.7–9.9 kt

Gust 13.5 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 50%
11:25Likely suitable

7.9 kt E 93°

Likely 5.3–10.6 kt

Gust 11.7 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 48%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
9.1 kt
Strongest gust
22.0 kt
Rain chance
92%
Temperature
16–18°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides