Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 09:25.

Why: Wind now 25.0 kt from NW; no two consecutive green forecast windows; next six hours 25.0–29.0 kt, gusting up to 46.8 kt; wind direction changing NW to NNW to NW; rain chance up to 97%; 1 active Met Office warning.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 0.3 kt · direction difference 15°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 08:39 · forecast 08:32 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Active Met Office warning

Yellow: Storm Austen bringing a spell of strong winds with transport disruption likely and possible damaging winds in some areas. — Strong west to northwesterly winds will spread across southern parts of England and Wales during Thursday night and into Friday. Gusts of 50-60 mph are likely and some coastal or exposed areas could see 70 mph or more, this more likely over parts of southwest England. Ahead of this, a spell of southerly winds with gusts of 50-60 mph will move east along the south coast of England during Thursday night. Winds will slowly ease during Friday afternoon. Strong winds will be also combined with periods of heavy rain making for difficult travel conditions.

Read the official warning

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 08:39
Wind now25.0 kt
Wind directionNW315°
Gust, last hour46.1 kt
1-hour average23.9 kt
Temperature9.2°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendRapidly Increasing+10.3 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height1.9 mUp to 2.7 m in six hours
Wave period7.2 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionNNW334° from
Swell height0.9 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
09:25Likely unsuitable

25.0 kt NNW 337°

Likely 23.1–25.8 kt

Gust 42.2 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 100%
10:25Likely unsuitable

25.3 kt NW 325°

Likely 22.9–26.1 kt

Gust 41.1 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
11:25Likely unsuitable

26.4 kt NW 321°

Likely 23.5–27.3 kt

Gust 42.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
12:25Likely unsuitable

26.1 kt NW 321°

Likely 23.0–27.0 kt

Gust 42.1 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
13:25Likely unsuitable

29.0 kt NW 320°

Likely 25.4–29.6 kt

Gust 46.8 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
14:25Likely unsuitable

27.2 kt NW 316°

Likely 24.4–27.9 kt

Gust 42.8 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 98%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
29.5 kt
Strongest gust
47.6 kt
Rain chance
97%
Temperature
9–10°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides