Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 10:55.

Why: Wind now 11.0 kt from SSW; no two consecutive green forecast windows; next six hours 14.3–22.2 kt, gusting up to 32.4 kt; wind direction changing SSW to SW to SSW to SW; rain chance up to 73%.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 0.8 kt · direction difference 17°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 10:09 · forecast 10:02 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 10:09
Wind now11.0 kt
Wind directionSSW202°
Gust, last hour20.9 kt
1-hour average14.4 kt
Temperature16.7°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendIncreasing+1.1 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height0.9 mUp to 1.4 m in six hours
Wave period4.5 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionWSW238° from
Swell height0.3 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
10:55Marginal

14.3 kt SW 232°

Likely 13.3–16.0 kt

Gust 18.7 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 89%
11:55Marginal

16.1 kt SW 230°

Likely 14.7–18.2 kt

Gust 21.6 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 87%
12:55Marginal

17.3 kt SW 218°

Likely 15.9–19.2 kt

Gust 23.4 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 87%
13:55Likely unsuitable

19.1 kt SSW 212°

Likely 17.9–21.2 kt

Gust 26.8 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 85%
14:55Likely unsuitable

20.9 kt SSW 211°

Likely 19.9–23.1 kt

Gust 30.1 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 87%
15:55Likely unsuitable

22.2 kt SW 216°

Likely 21.1–24.6 kt

Gust 32.4 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 85%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
22.2 kt
Strongest gust
32.5 kt
Rain chance
73%
Temperature
16–17°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides