Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 04:25.

Why: Wind now 14.0 kt from S; no two consecutive green forecast windows; next six hours 14.8–16.3 kt, gusting up to 28.5 kt; wind direction changing S to SSW to SW; rain chance up to 81%.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 1.2 kt · direction difference 20°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 22:46 · forecast 22:32 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 22:46
Wind now14.0 kt
Wind directionS180°
Gust, last hour26.1 kt
1-hour average15.2 kt
Temperature16.7°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendSteady-0.1 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height1.0 mUp to 1.0 m in six hours
Wave period4.3 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionSSW209° from
Swell height0.2 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

23:25
Likely unsuitable 16.3 kt SSW Gust 28.5 kt Rain 10% · Dark
Short course 195° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 10R Slow 10R · Myth 10R · Misc 18R · 1/2 Rater 18R Start Red · R = reverse
Local model
00:25
Marginal 15.8 kt SSW Gust 27.2 kt Rain 9% · Dark
Short course 195° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 10R Slow 10R · Myth 10R · Misc 18R · 1/2 Rater 18R Start Red · R = reverse
Local model
01:25
Marginal 15.5 kt SSW Gust 25.7 kt Rain 10% · Dark
Short course 210° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 10R Slow 10R · Myth 10R · Misc 18R · 1/2 Rater 18R Start Red · R = reverse
Local model
02:25
Marginal 15.1 kt SSW Gust 25.5 kt Rain 8% · Dark
Short course 210° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 10R Slow 10R · Myth 10R · Misc 18R · 1/2 Rater 18R Start Red · R = reverse
Local model
03:25
Marginal 14.9 kt SW Gust 25.0 kt Rain 16% · Dark
Short course 225° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 11R Slow 11R · Myth 11R · Misc 13R · 1/2 Rater 17 Start Red · R = reverse
Local model
04:25
Likely suitable 14.8 kt SW Gust 24.3 kt Rain 81% · Dark
Short course 225° magnetic Oppy 1R · Optimist 3R · Feva 11R Slow 11R · Myth 11R · Misc 13R · 1/2 Rater 17 Start Red · R = reverse
Local model

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
23:25Likely unsuitable

16.3 kt SSW 201°

Likely 15.1–17.4 kt

Gust 28.5 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
00:25Marginal

15.8 kt SSW 201°

Likely 13.7–16.9 kt

Gust 27.2 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 98%
01:25Marginal

15.5 kt SSW 209°

Likely 15.1–17.1 kt

Gust 25.7 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 97%
02:25Marginal

15.1 kt SSW 212°

Likely 14.8–17.2 kt

Gust 25.5 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 96%
03:25Marginal

14.9 kt SW 220°

Likely 14.4–17.7 kt

Gust 25.0 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 95%
04:25Likely suitable

14.8 kt SW 228°

Likely 15.0–17.1 kt

Gust 24.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 94%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
17.5 kt
Strongest gust
26.1 kt
Rain chance
81%
Temperature
16–17°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides