Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 10:55.

Why: Wind now 12.0 kt from SSE; no two consecutive green forecast windows; next six hours 17.7–21.5 kt, gusting up to 33.3 kt; wind direction changing SSE to S to SSW; rain chance up to 11%.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 4.3 kt · direction difference 32°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 10:05 · forecast 10:02 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 10:05
Wind now12.0 kt
Wind directionSSE158°
Gust, last hour23.5 kt
1-hour average14.2 kt
Temperature16.9°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendFalling-1.1 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height1.2 mUp to 1.5 m in six hours
Wave period4.5 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionSSW197° from
Swell height0.5 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
10:55Marginal

17.7 kt S 180°

Likely 16.3–19.7 kt

Gust 26.6 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 98%
11:55Likely unsuitable

18.1 kt S 180°

Likely 17.4–19.4 kt

Gust 27.4 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 96%
12:55Likely unsuitable

19.6 kt S 181°

Likely 18.2–21.9 kt

Gust 30.4 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 95%
13:55Likely unsuitable

21.5 kt S 190°

Likely 19.8–22.4 kt

Gust 33.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 93%
14:55Likely unsuitable

20.5 kt SSW 192°

Likely 19.0–21.6 kt

Gust 32.7 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 92%
15:55Likely unsuitable

19.1 kt SSW 194°

Likely 17.4–20.1 kt

Gust 31.5 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 91%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
19.8 kt
Strongest gust
31.7 kt
Rain chance
11%
Temperature
16–20°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides