Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 12:25.

Why: Wind now 12.0 kt from SW; next four hours 13.4–15.8 kt, gusting up to 22.2 kt; wind direction remaining SW; rain chance up to 80%; 1 active Met Office warning.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 1.5 kt · direction difference 31°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 11:38 · forecast 11:32 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Active Met Office warning

Yellow: Heavy showers and thunderstorms likely to lead to some travel disruption and flash flooding. — Heavy showers will develop this evening, becoming more frequent and widespread overnight. These are likely to bring 15 to 20 mm in an hour in some areas with as much as 30 to 50 mm falling in a period of six hours in some places. These accumulations may lead to a few places seeing some flooding. Alongside the rain, some showers are likely to be thundery, bringing the additional hazards of lightning and hail. The showers will ease from the northwest Thursday morning.

Read the official warning

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 11:38
Wind now12.0 kt
Wind directionSW225°
Gust, last hour19.1 kt
1-hour average12.3 kt
Temperature17.3°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendIncreasing+1.4 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height0.8 mUp to 0.9 m in six hours
Wave period4.0 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionWSW246° from
Swell height0.4 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight and nearby high or low tide turns. Hours 1–4 use the local model; later hours use Met Office guidance.

12:25
Marginal 13.4 kt SW Gust 17.4 kt Rain 6% · Daylight Local model
13:25
Marginal 13.5 kt SW Gust 18.0 kt Rain 6% · Daylight Local model
14:25
Marginal 15.2 kt SW Gust 21.1 kt Rain 6% · Daylight High tide 14:57 Local model
15:25
Marginal 15.8 kt SW Gust 22.2 kt Rain 58% · Daylight High tide 14:57 Local model
16:38
Marginal 15.8 kt SW Gust 21.7 kt Rain 39% · Daylight Met Office
17:38
Marginal 15.8 kt SW Gust 21.7 kt Rain 39% · Daylight Met Office

Experimental local model

Next four hours

How the model works
12:25Marginal

13.4 kt SW

Likely 11.5–15.9 kt

Gust 17.4 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 70%
13:25Marginal

13.5 kt SW

Likely 11.3–15.7 kt

Gust 18.0 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 58%
14:25Marginal

15.2 kt SW

Likely 12.2–17.6 kt

Gust 21.1 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 77%
15:25Marginal

15.8 kt SW

Likely 13.2–18.9 kt

Gust 22.2 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 82%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
16.8 kt
Strongest gust
23.9 kt
Rain chance
80%
Temperature
16–17°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides